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{"id":3629,"date":"2022-07-08T14:47:47","date_gmt":"2022-07-08T18:47:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/jbweather.net\/?p=3629"},"modified":"2022-07-08T20:56:02","modified_gmt":"2022-07-09T00:56:02","slug":"forecast-heavy-rain-flooding-possible-tonight-saturday","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jbweather.net\/forecast-heavy-rain-flooding-possible-tonight-saturday\/","title":{"rendered":"Forecast: Heavy Rain, Flooding Possible Tonight & Saturday"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Brought to you by SouthernMaryland SportsCards<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Our recent streak of humid days across the region will look to come to end, even if it’s only briefly. Showers and thunderstorms will look to develop across the region late tonight and linger into Saturday. Hit-and-miss pockets of heavy rain will be possible and could lead to localized areas of flooding.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

This rain chance will be thanks to a stationary frontal boundary and a slow-moving area of low pressure. These will both gradually work their way off the coast this weekend. However, these two will lead to rain developing across the Mid-Atlantic. We will see that rain focus along the boundary zone that will separate cooler and warmer air. The stark contrast in temperature on either side would help to create the potential for pockets of heavier rain to develop.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Chesapeake’s Bounty Futurecast simulated radar<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Our Chesapeake’s Bounty Futurecast shows that we are likely to see the rain begin to develop across the region as we approach sunset tonight. The area of the heaviest rain will likely be focused northwest of I-95 overnight. Futurecast shows that as we head into tomorrow, the heavy rain threat shifts eastward.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This specific model depicts some of the heaviest rains setting up across Southern MD tomorrow. While it is possible, it is not a guarantee<\/strong>. All of our model guidance agrees that there will be a zone of heavy rain somewhere in the Mid-Atlantic. However, they all diverge somewhat on the exact placement.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The duration of the rain is likely to depend on how quickly the area of low pressure gets out of here. It is possible that it slides out to sea pretty quickly. This would allow for the rain to end during the early afternoon. It is also possible that the low is slow to move out. That would allow the rain to drag on through the evening.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

It is important to note that it will not rain everywhere all day. While the chance of seeing rain is widespread, there will be holes in the coverage of the rain. This may mean that some spots see very little rain over the next 24-36 hours while others see quite a bit. It is very difficult to pinpoint exactly where those pockets of heavy rain and little rain will set up.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n

Why do some people get bad storms and others still have sunshine?
Storms form like bubbles in boiling water.
We\u2019re good at predicting days when bubbles will form, but where *exactly* they pop up is random.
Think of this next time you\u2019re frustrated you didn\u2019t get rain. @wfmy<\/a> pic.twitter.com\/0l9KbkPgSm<\/a><\/p>— Tim Buckley (@TimBuckleyWX) May 2, 2022<\/a><\/blockquote>