Friday’s Forecast: Warm with Afternoon Storms Possible

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We saw an active night across the region last night as Tropical Storm Elsa moved through the region bringing heavy rain, gusty winds, and a couple of tornado warnings. We have cleared out this morning, and we are off to a seasonal start across the region. Temperatures will look to max out in the upper 80s tomorrow afternoon. A cold front will approach from the west and will bring with it a chance of storms between 2-10PM. Our Chesapeake’s Bounty Futurecast depicts this potential well.

https://jbweather.net/wp-content/uploads/2021/07/Futurecast-2.mp4

We will likely see a broken line of showers and thunderstorms move through during the afternoon and evening. The combination of warm temps and increased humidity will allow for the atmosphere to become unstable and potentially support thunderstorm development. Storm severity will be highly dependent on cloud cover throughout the day. If clouds hold strong throughout much of the morning and early afternoon hours, they could limit instability. Nevertheless, this storm threat will be something to aware of. The main risks would be damaging winds and some isolated hail. There would also be a non-zero tornado threat, but it likely would not be high. I will have more updates on this potential throughout the day. Stay tuned.

-JB

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